3
Divot
4yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65
Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Leicester | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/10 | 94% | 90% | -0.04 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 4/5 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 14/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |