IvyArcIvyArc
1

Kurios Lady

4yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 65

Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#12

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden for James Tate. Right back on track on second run for new yard with third of 10 in handicap at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) 22 days ago, caught further back than ideal. Well in the mix back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 23/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m13y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/1045 @ Southwell 20/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m13y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS5 @ Southwell 07/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m13y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS7/0255 @ Kempton 04/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m2f219y Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/03/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Nottingham 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 70 · 1m2f50y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 70 par26/045OR 705 @ Leicester 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 69 · 1m3f179y Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 68 · 1m3f197y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 68 par20/065OR 685 @ Kempton 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m2f219y Sta 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 66 par6 @ Lingfield 01/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 64 · 1m2f Std 155 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 64 par1/096OR 64projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Lingfield63rd3rd0
2026-08-10Kempton56th5th+1
2026-06-20Doncaster55th4th+1
2026-05-09Leicester55th4th+1
2026-04-26Nottingham52nd1st+1
2026-03-04Kempton56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/104/0320/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength59%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/10/20256th14/126%38%+0.11
20/01/20263rd11/142%80%+0.38
07/02/20264th13/266%73%+0.07
04/03/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
26/04/20262nd7/282%75%-0.07
09/05/20265th7/282%20%-0.62
20/06/20265th5/287%20%-0.67
10/08/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
01/09/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78