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6

Sansanetti

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 63

Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked better than ever when off the mark for the season at Lingfield (1¼m, all-weather) in August. Followed it with a very good fourth of 6 in handicap at Wolverhampton (1½m) 22 days ago, conceding first run. A likely player from an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chelmsford City 14/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 54 · 1m2f Sta 131 · beat its mark14/08/2025 · OR 54 par14/086OR 546 @ Lingfield 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 55 · 1m2f Std 129 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 55 par5 @ Chelmsford City 02/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 57 · 1m2f Std 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 57 par2/105OR 575 @ Newmarket 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m2f Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 61 par5 @ Leicester 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m2f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 61 par13/065OR 616 @ Lingfield 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 60 · 1m2f Goo 130 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Windsor 20/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m2f GF 129 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 59 par20/076OR 596 @ Lingfield 15/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 59 · 1m2f Std 135 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 1m4f51y Std 135 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 63 par1/096OR 63projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Wolverhampton64th4th0
2026-08-15Lingfield61st1st0
2026-07-20Windsor64th4th0
2026-06-27Lingfield64th4th0
2026-06-13Leicester56th5th+1
2026-05-15Newmarket56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0815/0520/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20252nd9/591%83%-0.07
04/09/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
02/10/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
15/05/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
13/06/20266th20/10%44%+0.44
27/06/20264th3/184%25%-0.59
20/07/20264th10/147%70%+0.23
15/08/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
01/09/20264th6/492%40%-0.52