Super Hit
5yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65
Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 5 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-17 | Catterick | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Doncaster | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Windsor | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Brighton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 77% | +0.03 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 20/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |