11

Uzincso

10yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 57

Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran is a 7-time course winner and he comes here in good nick, sixth of 12 in handicap over C&D 14 days ago. One to consider from a slipping mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 15/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 59 · 1m2f219y Sta 139 · beat its mark15/09/2025 · OR 59 par15/096OR 596 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m2f219y Sta 133 · beat its mark24/09/2025 · OR 59 par6 @ Kempton 03/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m3f219y Sta 138 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 63 par3/116OR 636 @ Lingfield 02/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 62 · 1m2f Std 136 · beat its mark02/12/2025 · OR 62 par6 @ Kempton 08/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m3f219y Sta 131 · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 61 par8/046OR 616 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m3f219y Sta 135 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 60 par6 @ Kempton 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 59 · 1m2f219y Sta 129 · beat its mark10/06/2026 · OR 59 par10/066OR 596 @ Lingfield 17/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 59 · 1m2f Std 137 · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 59 par6 @ Kempton 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 58 · 1m2f219y Sta 138 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 58 par9/096OR 58projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Kempton66th6th0
2026-08-17Lingfield64th4th0
2026-06-10Kempton63rd3rd0
2026-05-20Kempton64th4th0
2026-04-08Kempton611th11th0
2025-12-02Lingfield64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/092/1210/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20251st18/15%100%+0.95
24/09/20259th7/282%38%-0.43
03/11/20257th17/255%50%-0.05
02/12/20254th7/163%63%-0.01
08/04/202611th11/142%9%-0.33
20/05/20264th11/142%70%+0.28
10/06/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43
17/08/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
09/09/20266th10/382%55%-0.28