11

Uzincso
10yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 57
Kempton · Unibet 40,000+ Live Streamed Events Handicap · 1m 2f 219y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Kempton | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Kempton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Kempton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Lingfield | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 24/09/2025 | 9th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.43 |
| 03/11/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |
| 02/12/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |