2
Bud Fox
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength5%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Cheltenham | 1 | 3rd | -6th | +7 |
| 2025-04-29 | Punchestown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 2079% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2025 | 1st | 16/5 | 83% | 100% | +0.17 |
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 29/12/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 38% | -0.54 |
| 20/01/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 68% | 0.00 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 77% | -0.06 |