21
Down After Dark
4yo Gelding · 11-10
Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#19
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#19
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 2011% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength10%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |