3
Euro Agent
5yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 102
Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Leopardstown | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Leopardstown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 2089% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 71% | +0.29 |
| 28/05/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 65% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.40 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |