Individualism
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA83 | 7th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Hamilton | 3 | 7th | 1st | +5 |
| 2025-08-24 | Beverley | 4 | 2nd | -3th | +4 |
| 2025-08-08 | Musselburgh | 3 | 7th | 1st | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 20. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 02/08/2025 | 12th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.03 |
| 08/08/2025 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 24/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 29/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 22/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |