5
Jules Winfield
5yo Gelding · 11-12
Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength7%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-07 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Haydock | 3 | 2nd | -4th | +5 |
| 2025-04-11 | Ballinrobe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 2063% of fieldRange 21-21 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -53.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 10/05/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 07/06/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |