6

Kilmond Knight

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m

#20

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

Timeform

Commentary

Pulled up sole outing in points and well held all 3 completed starts over hurdles (reported to have made a noise in running last time). Unlikely to be of interest until handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f89y Gd 15821/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f110y Yie 1584/08C8C8 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m6f113y Goo 16610/08C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Ballinrobe?8th8th0
2026-08-04Roscommon?7th7th0
2026-07-21Ballinrobe?10th10th0
2026-05-25Ballinrobe?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/074/0810/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2047% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength62%

Delivery trend +10.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 20. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/07/202610th125/10%25%+0.25
04/08/20267th300/10%50%+0.50
10/08/20268th80/10%46%+0.46