16
Thepoetslodge
4yo Gelding · 11-10
Listowel · McSweeney Brothers Maiden Hurdle · 2m
#16
Rank
Odds
200/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 11.5 /10 (raw 11.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Gowran Park | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2032% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 05/04/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |