Bartholomew
4yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 141
Listowel · Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker Novice Hurdle · 2m
#5
Rank
Odds
11/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | 1 | 2nd | -7th | +7 |
| 2026-04-05 | Cork | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-19 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 125/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 05/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |