5
Beir Bua
5yo Mare · 11-0
Listowel · Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker Novice Hurdle · 2m
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-22 | Kilbeggan | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Killarney | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Cork | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.82 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 18/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 06/08/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 15/8 | 90% | 43% | -0.47 |