1
Cosmos D'ainay
6yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 123
Listowel · Seamus Mulvaney Bookmaker Novice Hurdle · 2m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Perth | 4 | 1st | -3th | +4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-08-17 | Tramore | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-07-03 | Tipperary | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-05-13 | Sligo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-17 | Clonmel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 1/2 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 03/07/2025 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 17/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |