1
Aboras Mahler
6yo Mare · 11-12 · OR 98
Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | Downpatrick | BHA96 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Thurles | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-18 | Limerick | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Sligo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 21100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +20.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/09/2025 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 18/11/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 150/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |