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14

Clonbury Court

4yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 85

Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y

#17

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Little to shout about in 4 maiden hurdles earlier this year, though seemed unsuited by being kept to 2m at Fairyhouse in April. Needs to leave those efforts well behind, but this step up in trip promises to suit on his handicap bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 17.3 /10 (raw 17.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 03/02/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 2m Sft 1543/02C8C8 @ Navan 21/03/2026 · Pos 20th of 23 · OR - · 2m Sft 15621/03C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 05/04/2026 · Pos 18th of 25 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 1585/04C8projClass-projected finish: 21st of 21
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-05Fairyhouse?18th18th0
2026-03-21Navan?20th20th0
2026-02-22Naas?0
2026-02-03Fairyhouse?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0221/035/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish19th of 2110% of fieldRange 12-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +11.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 19th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/202614th50/10%7%+0.07
21/03/202620th250/10%14%+0.14
05/04/202618th300/10%29%+0.29