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11

Deep Warrior

4yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 94

Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y

#16

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looks to have been brought along gradually in a trio of maidens so far, seventh of 11 at Tramore (2m) when last seen in April. Well bred and he remains capable of better as he goes up in trip for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 19/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f20y Yie 16119/03C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 05/04/2026 · Pos 21st of 25 · OR - · 2m100y Yie 1585/04C8C8 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m80y Goo 15020/04C8projClass-projected finish: 20th of 21
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-20Tramore?7th7th0
2026-04-05Fairyhouse?21th21th0
2026-03-19Cork?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/035/0420/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2145% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +25.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/03/20268th8/158%46%-0.12
05/04/202621st66/10%17%+0.17
20/04/20267th66/10%40%+0.40