7

Installment

6yo Gelding · 11-9 · OR 95

Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y

#19

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#19

★★ Timeform

Commentary

After 11 months off, showed his first form when staying on for fourth in 13-runner maiden at Tramore (2¾m) in May. Has run poorly both starts since, though, tailed off at Roscommon last month. Hood applied for handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clonmel 17/04/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f195y Goo 16817/04C?C0 @ Tipperary 14/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 16114/05C?C8 @ Sligo 13/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 16613/07C8C8 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f175y Goo 16630/05C8C8 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m4f46y Yie 1664/08C8projClass-projected finish: 19th of 21
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-04Roscommon?13th13th0
2026-07-24Kilbeggan?0
2026-05-30Tramore?4th4th0
2025-07-13Sligo?7th7th0
2025-05-14Tipperary?6th6th0
2025-04-17Clonmel?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0414/0513/0730/054/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2130% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

Delivery trend +17.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/202515th11/142%0%-0.42
14/05/20256th50/10%29%+0.29
13/07/20257th14/126%33%+0.07
30/05/20264th100/10%75%+0.75
04/08/202613th33/10%20%+0.20