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Lunar Landscape

6yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 81

Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair maiden on the Flat who has made the frame in handicap hurdles the last twice, held only late on when 2¾ lengths second of 15 to Crypto Crash at Bellewstown (17f) on latest outing. Merits consideration given his ability on the level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA58 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 58 · 1m2f10y Gd 141 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 58 par6/0958OR 58BHA60 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m3f10y Yie 142 · below its mark29/09/2025 · OR 60 parBHA60 @ Curragh 21/10/2025 · Pos 24th of 25 · OR 60 · 1m2f Hvy 130 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 60 par21/1060OR 60C8 @ Punchestown 13/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR - · 1m7f187y Hvy 166C8 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 18th of 26 · OR - · 2m Sft 1666/12C8BHA82 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 82 · 2m1f Goo 150 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 82 parBHA81 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 23 · OR 81 · 2m1f60y Goo 149 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 81 par10/0781OR 81BHA79 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 79 · 2m109y Goo 148 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 79 parBHA80 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 80 · 2m1f40y Goo 148 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 80 par26/0880OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26BellewstownBHA802nd2nd0
2026-08-10BallinrobeBHA794th4th0
2026-07-10CorkBHA8113th13th0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA826th6th0
2025-12-06Navan?18th18th0
2025-11-13Punchestown?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0913/1110/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 2180% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength77%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 21.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/09/20252nd9/153%94%+0.42
29/09/202512th7/282%15%-0.66
21/10/202524th40/10%4%+0.04
13/11/202512th80/10%45%+0.45
06/12/202518th125/10%32%+0.32
27/05/20266th10/147%62%+0.14
10/07/202613th8/158%45%-0.12
10/08/20264th11/271%79%+0.08
26/08/20262nd9/276%93%+0.17