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9

Masego

4yo Gelding · 11-7 · OR 95

Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made the frame in juvenile hurdle at this course (2m) 12 months ago and has done well in handicaps on the Flat this year, successful at Leopardstown (13f) in May on final run for Ms Margaret Mullins. Ran poorly on handicap hurdle debut at Bellewstown last month, but he had been well backed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Down Royal 29/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Goo 15229/08C?C0 @ Listowel 21/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m Yie 152BHA41 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 41 · 1m1f130y Sft 123 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 41 par9/0441OR 41BHA41 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 41 · 1m5f160y Sft 123 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 41 parBHA40 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 19 · OR 40 · 1m4f180y Gd 122 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 40 par15/0540OR 40BHA46 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 46 · 1m4f37y Gd 128 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 46 parBHA47 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 47 · 1m5f Goo 119 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 47 par17/0747OR 47BHA47 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 47 · 1m4f179y Goo 129 · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 47 parBHA96 @ Bellewstown 26/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 96 · 2m1f40y Goo 161 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 96 par26/0896OR 96projClass-projected finish: 11th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26BellewstownBHA9612th12th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA473rd3rd0
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA472nd2nd0
2026-07-03BellewstownBHA463rd3rd0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA401st1st0
2026-04-22Gowran ParkBHA415th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0822/0417/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 2120% of fieldRange 17-21 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 17th of 21. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20255th66/10%33%+0.33
21/09/20254th33/10%67%+0.67
09/04/20265th17/255%69%+0.14
22/04/20265th17/255%67%+0.11
15/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
03/07/20263rd8/158%87%+0.29
17/07/20262nd9/488%83%-0.05
20/07/20263rd6/492%80%-0.12
26/08/202612th7/282%21%-0.60