18
Mr Erwitt
7yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 72
Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y
#21
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA79 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-18 | Limerick | BHA82 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | BHA85 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-08 | Galway | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2125% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +18.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/09/2025 | 9th | 250/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |