12

Pixie Hill

6yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 88

Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y

#20

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't made much impact in 3 maidens but offered a bit more encouragement when sixth of 20 at Cork (17f) in July. Open to improvement now handicapping, though bred to stay even further down the line.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 2m3f200y Yie 16128/05C8C8 @ Punchestown 06/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR - · 2m100y Goo 1596/06C8C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR - · 2m1f60y Goo 15910/07C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 21
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?6th6th0
2026-06-06Punchestown?9th9th0
2026-05-28Limerick?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/056/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 2135% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%

Delivery trend +19.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/202610th100/10%36%+0.36
06/06/20269th150/10%62%+0.62
10/07/20266th300/10%74%+0.74