21
Sidiriya
7yo Mare · 10-3 · OR 75
Listowel · Brandon Hotel Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 2m 2f 135y
#9
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | BHA76 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA77 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | BHA76 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | BHA76 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA77 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Cork | BHA78 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2160% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength80%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 21.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 08/01/2026 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 23% | -0.53 |
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 19/03/2026 | 13th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 12/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |