IvyArcIvyArc
3

A Law Of Her Own

9yo Mare · 11-5 · OR 123

Listowel · Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Signed off for Peter Fahey with victory over hurdles at Punchestown in October. Unseated first at Galway on return in July and probably still needed the run when last of 8 in handicap chase at Kilbeggan 8 days later. Back over hurdles now and visor back on but step up to 3m is an unknown.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Clonmel 07/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m4f171y Goo 1447/1111 @ Cork 08/12/2024 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 123 · 2m160y Yie 153 · below its mark08/12/2024 · OR 123 parBHA121 @ Thurles 15/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 121 · 2m2f17y Goo 161 · beat its mark15/03/2025 · OR 121 par15/03121OR 1211 @ Punchestown 01/05/2025 · Pos 13th of 23 · OR 125 · 2m75y Yie 145 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 125 parBHA125 @ Limerick 22/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 3 · OR 125 · 2m3f176y Goo 156 · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 125 par22/05125OR 125BHA116 @ Galway 02/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 116 · 2m175y Gd 149 · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 116 parBHA116 @ Listowel 27/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 116 · 2m4f Goo 150 · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 116 par27/09116OR 116BHA115 @ Punchestown 15/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 115 · 2m95y Goo 166 · beat its mark15/10/2025 · OR 115 parBHA123 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 123 · 2m4f40y Goo 159 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 123 par8/08123OR 123projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08KilbegganBHA1238th8th0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA1230
2025-10-15PunchestownBHA1151st1st0
2025-09-27ListowelBHA1169th9th0
2025-08-02GalwayBHA1166th6th0
2025-06-09Roscommon?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/111/0527/098/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20243rd9/153%67%+0.14
08/12/20245th16/116%43%+0.27
15/03/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
01/05/202513th20/10%45%+0.45
22/05/20253rd11/1094%0%-0.94
02/08/20256th20/10%64%+0.64
27/09/20259th10/147%11%-0.36
15/10/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
08/08/20268th15/261%0%-0.61