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8yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 119

Listowel · Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#13

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on a much-reduced mark when landing 9-runner 2m handicap hurdle at Kilbeggan in September. Remains well treated on old form despite 6 lb rise, but that race panned out perfectly for him and much more needed here back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C11.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Navan 16/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f150y Hvy 16616/11C?BHA127 @ Navan 06/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 127 · 2m4f150y Sft 166 · below its mark06/12/2025 · OR 127 parBHA125 @ Punchestown 31/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 125 · 2m7f197y Yie 166 · below its mark31/12/2025 · OR 125 par31/12125OR 125BHA124 @ Punchestown 15/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 124 · 2m6f205y Hvy 166 · below its mark15/02/2026 · OR 124 parBHA121 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 121 · 2m6f70y Goo 166 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 121 par24/04121OR 121BHA120 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 120 · 2m160y Goo 166 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 120 parBHA116 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 116 · 3m1f194y Goo 166 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 116 par10/08116OR 116BHA115 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 115 · 2m6f80y Goo 149 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 115 parBHA113 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 113 · 2m26y Goo 157 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 113 par4/09113OR 113projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA1131st1st0
2026-08-22KillarneyBHA1158th8th0
2026-08-10BallinrobeBHA1166th6th0
2026-08-02GalwayBHA12014th14th0
2026-04-24KilbegganBHA12110th10th0
2026-02-15PunchestownBHA1246th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1115/0210/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20257th33/10%45%+0.45
06/12/20258th33/10%53%+0.53
31/12/20255th33/10%56%+0.56
15/02/20266th50/10%17%+0.17
24/04/202610th11/142%18%-0.24
02/08/202614th100/10%19%+0.19
10/08/20266th28/10%17%+0.17
22/08/20268th40/10%46%+0.46
04/09/20261st20/10%100%+1.00