7

She'll Be Kept

6yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 112

Listowel · Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much improved since joining current yard, winning Ballinrobe handicap in July before defying an 11 lb rise in a 3m event at Roscommon last month by 5½ lengths from Mavetherave. Still had plenty to do when falling 2 out back at Ballinrobe last time and further progress needed off current mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Limerick 28/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m5f Hvy 14828/01C8C8 @ Cork 20/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 101 · 2m3f Sft 161 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 101 parBHA100 @ Downpatrick 09/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 100 · 2m5f180y Gd 168 · below its mark09/05/2025 · OR 100 par9/05100OR 100C8 @ Tramore 30/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 98 · 2m5f145y Goo 161 · below its mark30/05/2025 · OR 98 parBHA98 @ Cork 11/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 98 · 2m4f Goo 154 · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 98 par11/0798OR 98BHA92 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 92 · 2m3f200y Sft 161 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 92 parBHA91 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 91 · 2m6f120y Gd 159 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 91 par2/0791OR 91BHA90 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f41y Gd 159 · beat its mark21/07/2026 · OR 90 parBHA101 @ Roscommon 04/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 101 · 2m7f210y Yie 157 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 101 par4/08101OR 101projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1120
2026-08-04RoscommonBHA1011st1st0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA901st1st0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA916th6th0
2026-05-28LimerickBHA9210th10th0
2025-07-11CorkBHA9811th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0130/052/074/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%

Delivery trend -2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/01/20252nd125/10%90%+0.90
20/04/20257th28/10%60%+0.60
09/05/20256th20/10%50%+0.50
30/05/20253rd3/184%78%-0.06
11/07/202511th18/15%38%+0.32
28/05/202610th12/137%47%+0.10
02/07/20266th50/10%71%+0.71
21/07/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
04/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37