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9yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 99

Listowel · Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Got back to winning ways reverted to hurdling in 13-runner event at Kilbeggan (25f, good to soft) earlier this month and shaped as if still in good form when 19¼ lengths third of 11 to Brandt in handicap chase at Galway last time. Races from 5 lb out of the handicap back over hurdles.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA103 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 103 · 3m150y Gd 154 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 103 par21/05103OR 103BHA95 @ Sligo 09/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 95 · 3m1f170y Yie 162 · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 95 parBHA93 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 93 · 2m6f120y Gd 161 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 93 par2/0793OR 93BHA96 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 96 · 3m1f121y Gd 152 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 96 parBHA96 @ Killarney 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 96 · 2m4f85y Goo 148 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 96 par16/0796OR 96BHA100 @ Galway 02/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 100 · 2m6f111y Goo 156 · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 100 parBHA99 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 99 · 2m7f100y Goo 167 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 99 par20/0899OR 99BHA95 @ Kilbeggan 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 95 · 3m200y Goo 149 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 95 parBHA97 @ Galway 07/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 97 · 2m6f111y Sft 149 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 97 par7/0997OR 97projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07GalwayBHA973rd3rd0
2026-09-04KilbegganBHA951st1st0
2026-08-20KillarneyBHA995th5th0
2026-08-02GalwayBHA10010th10th0
2026-07-16KillarneyBHA964th4th0
2026-07-12SligoBHA9610th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0512/0720/087/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/05/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
09/06/20268th13/266%53%-0.12
02/07/20262nd11/142%94%+0.52
12/07/202610th11/271%36%-0.35
16/07/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
02/08/202610th16/116%47%+0.31
20/08/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
04/09/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
07/09/20263rd3/184%80%-0.04