9
Stormbreaker
7yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 111
Listowel · Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m
#12
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Killarney | BHA113 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Galway | BHA115 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA117 | 0 | ||
| 2025-04-22 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-03-14 | Cheltenham | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-02-02 | Leopardstown | 1 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 27/09/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 55% | -0.34 |
| 31/12/2024 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 02/02/2025 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 35% | -0.17 |
| 14/03/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 61% | +0.61 |
| 22/04/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 22/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |