10
Withabitofluk
7yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 110
Listowel · Devon Inn Dan Sheehan Memorial Handicap Hurdle · 3m
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | BHA115 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-06 | Fairyhouse | ? | 19th | 19th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Naas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/12/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 23/02/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 76% | -0.02 |
| 06/04/2026 | 19th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 30/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |