French Dynamite
11yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 149
Listowel · Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 7f 180y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 13.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA140 | 4th | 20th | −13 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | BHA145 | 2nd | 18th | −14 |
| 2025-10-19 | Limerick | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Punchestown | BHA144 | 2nd | 18th | −13 |
| 2025-04-04 | Aintree | 1 | 19th | 19th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 22/02/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/03/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/04/2025 | 19th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 88% | +0.83 |
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 02/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |