Look To The West
8yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 135
Listowel · Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 7f 180y
#18
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-21 | Limerick | BHA135 | 1st | 16th | −13 |
| 2026-04-02 | Clonmel | BHA135 | −13 | ||
| 2026-01-01 | Fairyhouse | 1 | +0 | ||
| 2025-04-25 | Kilbeggan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-27 | Clonmel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-03-31 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 21st of 21. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2023 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 27/01/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 31/03/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/02/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 25/04/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |