Meet And Greet
10yo Gelding · 10-6 · OR 129
Listowel · Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 7f 180y
#21
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | BHA131 | 2nd | 17th | −12 |
| 2026-01-18 | Thurles | BHA133 | 8th | 23th | −12 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-05-01 | Punchestown | 1 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 20th of 21.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2024 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 09/02/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 02/03/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 01/05/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/11/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 57% | +0.52 |
| 15/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 18/01/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 46% | -0.12 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 150/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |