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Ol Man Dingle

7yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 145

Listowel · Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 7f 180y

#20

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual chase winner last season and resumed winning ways with a career best at Kilbeggan in June. Showed enough to suggest he remains in form when seventh of 22 to King Alexander in Galway Plate last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 22/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 139 · 2m6f150y Sft 164 · below its mark22/03/2025 · OR 139 par22/03C8OR 139C0 @ Galway 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m2f54y Yie 1661 @ Cork 02/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 1542/1111 @ Fairyhouse 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 146 · 2m4f55y Yie 164 · below its mark30/11/2025 · OR 146 par1 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 145 · 2m4f127y Goo 159 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 145 par12/031OR 1451 @ Punchestown 01/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 22 · OR 142 · 2m4f55y Yie 166 · below its mark01/05/2026 · OR 142 par1 @ Ballinrobe 25/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 140 · 2m7f80y Goo 160 · below its mark25/05/2026 · OR 140 par25/051OR 140BHA140 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 140 · 2m4f Goo 166 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 140 par1 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 22 · OR 145 · 2m6f111y Gd 158 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 145 par29/071OR 145projClass-projected finish: 11th of 21
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Galway17th7th0
2026-06-15KilbegganBHA1401st17th−13
2026-05-25Ballinrobe13rd3rd0
2026-05-01Punchestown17th7th0
2026-03-12Cheltenham111th11th0
2025-11-30Fairyhouse15th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0330/1125/0529/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 2140% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 21. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20255th13/266%20%-0.46
07/10/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
02/11/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
30/11/20255th7/163%20%-0.43
12/03/202611th40/10%41%+0.41
01/05/20267th33/10%71%+0.71
25/05/20263rd8/158%87%+0.29
15/06/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
29/07/20267th20/10%71%+0.71