Perceval Legallois
9yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 143
Listowel · Guinness Kerry National Handicap Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 7f 180y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
24%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-01 | Tramore | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 21. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 31/07/2024 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 25/09/2024 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 69% | -0.02 |
| 17/11/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.35 |
| 27/12/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 01/02/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 01/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |