2
La Note Verte
6yo Mare · 11-7 · OR 128
Listowel · Ballygarry Estate Hotel & Spa Mares Novice Chase · 2m 3f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
18%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength21%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Wexford | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Listowel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-29 | Galway | 1 | 6th | -2th | +7 |
| 2025-07-07 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 01/06/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/06/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/07/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 29/07/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |