4
Miss Doyenne
6yo Mare · 11-7
Listowel · Ballygarry Estate Hotel & Spa Mares Novice Chase · 2m 3f
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Killarney | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-04-21 | Cork | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength95%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.15 |
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 87% | -0.01 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |