5

Rond Point

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Listowel · Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race · 2m 4f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

£80,000 purchase after finishing runner-up on completed start in points and offered something to work on despite proving easy to back when fourth of 16 in 2¼m bumper at Galway (good to soft) on Rules debut 55 days ago. That form has worked out reasonably well and he must enter calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f Gd 16830/07C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Galway?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20264th16/116%80%+0.64