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6

Through The Storm

5yo Gelding · 12-0

Listowel · Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race · 2m 4f

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed a bit on bumper debut but well held since, including over hurdles. Stamina an obvious concern stepping up to 2½m on return to this sphere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Hereford 21/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 2m53y Goo 15621/125C0 @ Naas 05/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m Hvy 1645/01C?C8 @ Kilbeggan 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m Gd 1588/08C8C8 @ Kilbeggan 03/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m3f Goo 1663/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Kilbeggan?10th10th0
2026-08-08Kilbeggan?8th8th0
2025-01-05Naas?6th6th0
2024-12-21Hereford54th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/125/018/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength10%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/12/20244th11/142%73%+0.31
05/01/20256th12/137%38%+0.01
08/08/20268th50/10%30%+0.30
03/09/202610th40/10%10%+0.10