8
Young Doran
5yo Gelding · 12-0
Listowel · Paul Moynihan (Ex VFI President) Memorial Flat Race · 2m 4f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Ballinrobe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -105.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 09/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |