Balam
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-01-17 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -21.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 11/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |