5

Game Maker

5yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 68

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Mahoning Valley 15/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fas 126 · beat its mark15/01/2026 · OR 57 par15/01C9OR 57C9 @ Mahoning Valley 02/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 126 · beat its mark02/02/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 67 · 6f 124 · below its mark05/03/2026 · OR 67 par5/03C8OR 67C8 @ Mountaineer 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 72 · 5f110y 120 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 72 parC8 @ Mountaineer 22/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 68 par22/06C8OR 68C8 @ Mountaineer 15/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Mountaineer 26/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 67 · 7f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 67 par26/07C5OR 67C8 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 68 · 5f110y Fas 124 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 68 parC8 @ Mountaineer 26/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 64 · 5f Gd 124 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 64 par26/08C8OR 64projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-08-05Mountaineer?4th4th0
2026-07-26Mountaineer?6th3rd+3
2026-07-15Mountaineer?6th6th0
2026-06-22Mountaineer?1st1st0
2026-04-26Mountaineer?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0126/0426/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
02/02/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
05/03/20265th11/486%56%-0.30
26/04/20262nd3/1098%67%-0.32
22/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
15/07/20266th7/282%17%-0.65
26/07/20266th25/10%17%+0.17
05/08/20264th8/158%25%-0.33
26/08/20264th40/10%63%+0.63