
Golden Cookie
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Penn National | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 25/06/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 17% | -0.69 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |