13
Insanity It Seems
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 35
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 8-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength1%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/01/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 13/04/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |