8
Mr Business
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 82
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/01/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 44% | -0.03 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 1/2 | 97% | 63% | -0.35 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |