1
Starship D'oro
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 69
Mountaineer · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength25%
Delivery trend +7.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 19/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 11% | -0.47 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 23/06/2026 | 7th | 15/1 | 21% | 33% | +0.12 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |