14
Mo Touring
7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 73
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-03-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-01-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2023-10-06 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength23%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10/2022 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 13% | -0.51 |
| 29/10/2022 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 23/06/2023 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 12/08/2023 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 06/10/2023 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 03/12/2023 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/01/2024 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 07/03/2024 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |