Chicker
5yo Gelding · 11-7
Perth · Harvesting What Matters Most Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 47y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Uttoxeter | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Aintree | 1 | 11th | 7th | +4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Cheltenham | 1 | 18th | 13th | +4 |
| 2025-11-16 | Cheltenham | 1 | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-25 | Cheltenham | 2 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Worcester | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/11/2025 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 58% | -0.29 |
| 11/03/2026 | 18th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |