9
Hunters Spring
5yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 99
Perth · Harvesting What Matters Most Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 47y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Perth | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-20 | Kelso | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2026-02-28 | Kelso | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Newcastle | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Perth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2024 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 11/02/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 15/03/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 71% | +0.16 |