4

Master Jack

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Perth · Harvesting What Matters Most Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m 47y

#7

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Modest form at best in 2 bumpers last winter and best watched now hurdling after 7 months off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 15/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 15915/0154 @ Kelso 13/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m51y Hvy 16113/024projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-13Kelso47th7th0
2026-01-15Newcastle56th7th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0113/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -39.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20266th150/10%64%+0.64
13/02/20267th40/10%25%+0.25